Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 15 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 5:31 PM to 12:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 26, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 15 minute chart read 82.0494. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-44.2615.4975.25Sep 26, 5:31 PM ET12:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-44.2615.4975.25Sep 26, 5:31 PM ET12:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:31 PM ET82.0494
Projected value at 12:46 AM ET-0.646611
Actual value at 12:46 AM ET0.709853
Projected change across the window-82.696
Actual change across the window-81.3396
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:46 AM ET), where they sat 1.35646 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (6:01 PM ET) with a gap of 57.0406. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (9:01 PM ET), a move of -18.0014. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:46 PM28.607283.2718+54.6646
67:01 PM16.535867.2076+50.6718
128:31 PM8.4343927.8335+19.3991
1810:01 PM3.90955-45.5822-49.4917
2411:31 PM-2.54639-52.284-49.7376
2912:46 AM-0.6466110.709853+1.35646

About Awesome Oscillator on a 15 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 15 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 7.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 7.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Automated analysis Awesome Oscillator for MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular Awesome Oscillator, PredictIndicators shows where the Awesome Oscillator is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Awesome Oscillator indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.