Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 15 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 4:16 PM to 11:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 15 minute chart read -38.0129. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.75-10.4713.82Sep 26, 4:16 PM ET11:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:16 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.75-10.4713.82Sep 26, 4:16 PM ET11:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:16 PM ET-38.0129
Projected value at 11:31 PM ET1.30738
Actual value at 11:31 PM ET-16.4219
Projected change across the window+39.3203
Actual change across the window+21.5911
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:31 PM ET), where they sat 6.48681 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (4:31 PM ET) with a gap of 50.3547. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (7:16 PM ET), a move of +5.19815. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:31 PM14.1917-36.163-50.3547
65:46 PM16.6377-19.0597-35.6974
127:16 PM9.937820.746706-9.19111
188:46 PM6.5871-8.18371-14.7708
2410:16 PM4.50864-13.2574-17.7661
2911:31 PM1.30738-16.4219-17.7293

About Awesome Oscillator on a 15 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 15 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 7.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 7.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial NinjaTrader predictive AI Awesome Oscillator Yes. Alongside the regular Awesome Oscillator, PredictIndicators shows where the Awesome Oscillator is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Awesome Oscillator indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Bitcoin In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your BTCUSD chart. How to install →

NinjaTrader what are predicted candlesticks PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of BTCUSD on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.