Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 15-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 6:44 PM to 1:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 6:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 15-minute chart read 60.7492. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.024.87254.76Sep 25, 6:44 PM ET1:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.024.87254.76Sep 25, 6:44 PM ET1:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:44 PM ET60.7492
Projected value at 1:59 AM ET2.36511
Actual value at 1:59 AM ET-47.561
Projected change across the window-58.3841
Actual change across the window-108.31
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (9:59 PM ET), where they sat 4.65213 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:44 PM ET) with a gap of 57.1828. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (9:59 PM ET), a move of -10.0954. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:59 PM5.521461.1343+55.6129
68:14 PM11.375251.9334+40.5581
129:44 PM6.4389211.1377+4.69881
1811:14 PM3.78461-30.6863-34.4709
2412:44 AM4.90097-41.5488-46.4497
291:59 AM2.36511-47.561-49.9261

About Awesome Oscillator on a 15-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 15-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 7.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 7.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.