Average True Range prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 11:33 AM to 4:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

Mate trader 5 download Download NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 from the official provider (or your broker), install it, then add PredictIndicators.ai to see predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars ahead on your charts. Download + setup guide →

MT5 download Download NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 from the official provider (or your broker), install it, then add PredictIndicators.ai to see predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars ahead on your charts. Download + setup guide →

4 MetaTrader On MetaTrader 5, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. MetaTrader 5 guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 22, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET, Average True Range on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 9.20932. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.62712.7415.84Sep 22, 11:33 AM ET4:04 PM ET
Projected Average True Range path, 30 bars from 11:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.62712.7415.84Sep 22, 11:33 AM ET4:04 PM ET
Recorded Average True Range values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 AM ET9.20932
Projected value at 4:04 PM ET16.2618
Actual value at 4:04 PM ET13.7203
Projected change across the window+7.05252
Actual change across the window+4.51094
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Average True Range to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.56 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (12:08 PM ET), where they sat 1.07582 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (8:24 PM ET) with a gap of 4.05517. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (3:05 PM ET), a move of -1.12952. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 PM12.49849.5908-2.90761
65:27 PM13.759810.4931-3.26672
1211:21 PM14.855811.27-3.58581
185:15 AM15.625312.0166-3.60876
2411:09 AM16.042614.6959-1.3467
294:04 PM16.261813.7203-2.54157

About Average True Range on a 59 minute chart

Average True Range measures how much ground a market covers per bar. It describes volatility, not direction, so a rising ATR means wider bars rather than higher prices. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Free trial MT5 artificial intelligence ATR PredictIndicators draws the predicted ATR for MNQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ATR you already use. ATR indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 how is prediction accuracy measured for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

How do I add the MNQ prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your MNQ chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.