Average True Range prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 1:17 PM to 1:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 14, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET, Average True Range on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 11.8521. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.0714.116.13Sep 14, 1:17 PM ET1:46 PM ET
Projected Average True Range path, 30 bars from 1:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.0714.116.13Sep 14, 1:17 PM ET1:46 PM ET
Recorded Average True Range values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:17 PM ET11.8521
Projected value at 1:46 PM ET16.2866
Actual value at 1:46 PM ET15.3619
Projected change across the window+4.43449
Actual change across the window+3.50979
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.26×

Reading this window

The projection called for Average True Range to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.26 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (1:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.434906 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (1:38 PM ET) with a gap of 3.27827. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:46 PM ET), a move of +0.490133. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:18 PM12.64112.2061-0.434906
61:23 PM14.010912.0823-1.92858
121:29 PM15.103112.6412-2.46192
181:35 PM15.873613.1948-2.67876
241:41 PM16.271713.7944-2.47722
291:46 PM16.286615.3619-0.924696

About Average True Range on a 1 minute chart

Average True Range measures how much ground a market covers per bar. It describes volatility, not direction, so a rising ATR means wider bars rather than higher prices. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy AI ATR for NT8 PredictIndicators draws the predicted ATR for MNQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ATR you already use. ATR indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your MNQ chart. How to install →

MetaTrader why do AI indicator predictions change for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.