Average True Range prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 6:14 AM to 6:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 6:14 AM ET, Average True Range on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 16.8331. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.7324.4131.09Sep 27, 6:14 AM ET6:43 AM ET
Projected Average True Range path, 30 bars from 6:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.7324.4131.09Sep 27, 6:14 AM ET6:43 AM ET
Recorded Average True Range values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:14 AM ET16.8331
Projected value at 6:43 AM ET31.9574
Actual value at 6:43 AM ET27.7665
Projected change across the window+15.1244
Actual change across the window+10.9335
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Average True Range to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (6:41 AM ET), where they sat 3.03617 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:14 AM ET) with a gap of 15.0151. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (6:19 AM ET), a move of -2.11151. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:15 AM31.83118.1272-13.7038
66:20 AM31.875418.3811-13.4943
126:26 AM31.748920.4267-11.3222
186:32 AM31.678320.1218-11.5565
246:38 AM31.844625.6594-6.18524
296:43 AM31.957427.7665-4.19089

About Average True Range on a 1 minute chart

Average True Range measures how much ground a market covers per bar. It describes volatility, not direction, so a rising ATR means wider bars rather than higher prices. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Buy predictive ATR for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ATR, PredictIndicators shows where the ATR is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ATR indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader chat about futures price action The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Next candle prediction indicator for BTCUSD Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 BTCUSD chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.