Average True Range prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 3:10 AM to 3:39 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 3:10 AM ET, Average True Range on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 16.7579. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:39 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.3713.3616.36Sep 27, 3:10 AM ET3:39 AM ET
Projected Average True Range path, 30 bars from 3:10 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.3713.3616.36Sep 27, 3:10 AM ET3:39 AM ET
Recorded Average True Range values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:10 AM ET16.7579
Projected value at 3:39 AM ET13.7805
Actual value at 3:39 AM ET13.3992
Projected change across the window-2.97731
Actual change across the window-3.35862
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Average True Range to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (3:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.140034 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:10 AM ET) with a gap of 4.59659. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:12 AM ET), a move of -3.86568. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:11 AM12.291815.7662+3.4743
63:16 AM12.830211.4532-1.37703
123:22 AM13.17389.96791-3.20585
183:28 AM13.51713.0507-0.46629
243:34 AM13.685810.0193-3.66652
293:39 AM13.780513.3992-0.381313

About Average True Range on a 1 minute chart

Average True Range measures how much ground a market covers per bar. It describes volatility, not direction, so a rising ATR means wider bars rather than higher prices. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best MetaTrader 5 artificial intelligence ATR Yes. Alongside the regular ATR, PredictIndicators shows where the ATR is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ATR indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI indicator free trial PredictIndicators brings predicted candles to MetaTrader 5: the next 30 BTCUSD bars appear on your MT5 chart and update in real time. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

MT5 ChatGPT assistant for BTCUSD Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 BTCUSD chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.