Average True Range prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 2:00 AM to 2:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET, Average True Range on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 29.3887. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.6623.2530.83Sep 27, 2:00 AM ET2:29 AM ET
Projected Average True Range path, 30 bars from 2:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.6623.2530.83Sep 27, 2:00 AM ET2:29 AM ET
Recorded Average True Range values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:00 AM ET29.3887
Projected value at 2:29 AM ET22.3729
Actual value at 2:29 AM ET17.1332
Projected change across the window-7.01579
Actual change across the window-12.2555
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Average True Range to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (2:11 AM ET), where they sat 0.237281 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (2:01 AM ET) with a gap of 10.1991. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (2:11 AM ET), a move of -4.31334. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:01 AM21.449531.6486+10.1991
62:06 AM21.762630.5003+8.73772
122:12 AM22.189118.1365-4.0526
182:18 AM22.095716.5237-5.57197
242:24 AM22.39215.2742-7.11775
292:29 AM22.372917.1332-5.23969

About Average True Range on a 1 minute chart

Average True Range measures how much ground a market covers per bar. It describes volatility, not direction, so a rising ATR means wider bars rather than higher prices. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy MetaTrader artificial intelligence ATR Yes. Alongside the regular ATR, PredictIndicators shows where the ATR is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ATR indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 ask AI about technical indicators for Bitcoin The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

MT5 ChatGPT assistant for BTCUSD Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 BTCUSD chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.