Average True Range prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 10:30 PM to 10:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, Average True Range on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 31.1175. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.9825.1632.34Sep 26, 10:30 PM ET10:59 PM ET
Projected Average True Range path, 30 bars from 10:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.9825.1632.34Sep 26, 10:30 PM ET10:59 PM ET
Recorded Average True Range values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:30 PM ET31.1175
Projected value at 10:59 PM ET23.3599
Actual value at 10:59 PM ET19.0912
Projected change across the window-7.75756
Actual change across the window-12.0262
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Average True Range to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (10:56 PM ET), where they sat 0.2787 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:30 PM ET) with a gap of 14.1072. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (10:56 PM ET), a move of -8.71331. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:31 PM17.672429.1665+11.4941
610:36 PM19.45526.3143+6.85928
1210:42 PM21.307827.4982+6.19041
1810:48 PM22.195930.6884+8.49249
2410:54 PM23.055830.9193+7.86351
2910:59 PM23.359919.0912-4.26867

About Average True Range on a 1 minute chart

Average True Range measures how much ground a market covers per bar. It describes volatility, not direction, so a rising ATR means wider bars rather than higher prices. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Buy predictive ATR for MetaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular ATR, PredictIndicators shows where the ATR is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ATR indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 accuracy score on trading chart for Bitcoin A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NT8 AI explains predicted indicators The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.