Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Dow, 1 minute chart, November 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 6, 2026, 12:05 PM to 12:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 6, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Dow 1 minute chart read 27.7417. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.5219.827.07Nov 6, 12:05 PM ET12:34 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.5219.827.07Nov 6, 12:05 PM ET12:34 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:05 PM ET27.7417
Projected value at 12:34 PM ET11.5392
Actual value at 12:34 PM ET15.0373
Projected change across the window-16.2025
Actual change across the window-12.7044
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.28×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.28 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (12:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.0191458 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:05 PM ET) with a gap of 7.05088. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (12:11 PM ET), a move of -1.5919. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:06 PM21.364628.0519+6.68735
612:11 PM22.404625.9902+3.58557
1212:17 PM18.830118.8492+0.0191458
1812:23 PM15.103613.7087-1.39481
2412:29 PM12.944714.5419+1.59721
2912:34 PM11.539215.0373+3.49806

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Dow activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial NT8 AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on YM, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

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NinjaTrader can AI predict future indicator values accurately for YM A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.