Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 10:32 AM to 12:57 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.
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On November 12, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 22.4002. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:57 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.
| Reading at 10:32 AM ET | 22.4002 |
|---|---|
| Projected value at 12:57 PM ET | 36.5987 |
| Actual value at 12:57 PM ET | 36.8894 |
| Projected change across the window | +14.1985 |
| Actual change across the window | +14.4892 |
| Bars moving the same direction | 19 of 29 |
| Bars on the projected side of the opening reading | 29 of 30 |
| Projected move relative to actual | 0.98× |
The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.
The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:57 PM ET), where they sat 0.29073 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (10:37 AM ET) with a gap of 36.1915. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (12:17 PM ET), a move of +2.07593. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.
Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.
| Bar | Time (ET) | Projected | Recorded | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:37 AM | 58.9061 | 22.7146 | -36.1915 |
| 6 | 11:02 AM | 59.363 | 23.5013 | -35.8617 |
| 12 | 11:32 AM | 60.6133 | 30.4871 | -30.1262 |
| 18 | 12:02 PM | 60.5808 | 33.6324 | -26.9483 |
| 24 | 12:32 PM | 43.8732 | 34.5001 | -9.37307 |
| 29 | 12:57 PM | 36.5987 | 36.8894 | +0.29073 |
ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.
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Live confidence score ADX for NinjaTrader 8 PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for RTY up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →
How to install a prediction indicator in MT5 for RTY In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your RTY chart. How to install →
NinjaTrader how is prediction accuracy measured for RTY A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →
Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.