Directional Movement (ADX) forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 6:54 AM to 7:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 6:54 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 49.971. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

22.6535.8749.08Sep 8, 6:54 AM ET7:52 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 6:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

22.6535.8749.08Sep 8, 6:54 AM ET7:52 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:54 AM ET49.971
Projected value at 7:52 AM ET20.877
Actual value at 7:52 AM ET29.1251
Projected change across the window-29.094
Actual change across the window-20.8459
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.40×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.40 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (7:48 AM ET), where they sat 7.10284 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (7:16 AM ET) with a gap of 26.1531. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (7:42 AM ET), a move of -1.99272. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:56 AM30.42749.3293+18.9023
67:06 AM26.992448.3186+21.3263
127:18 AM24.391450.0576+25.6662
187:30 AM22.782639.8528+17.0702
247:42 AM21.63330.1608+8.52783
297:52 AM20.87729.1251+8.24811

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 2-minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.