Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 2 minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 6:37 AM to 7:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 8, 2026 at 6:37 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 2 minute chart read 48.0305. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

22.6335.8649.08Sep 8, 6:37 AM ET7:35 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 6:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

22.6335.8649.08Sep 8, 6:37 AM ET7:35 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:37 AM ET48.0305
Projected value at 7:35 AM ET24.5263
Actual value at 7:35 AM ET20.8592
Projected change across the window-23.5042
Actual change across the window-27.1713
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (7:25 AM ET), where they sat 0.309839 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (6:45 AM ET) with a gap of 13.5228. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (7:09 AM ET), a move of -1.99272. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:39 AM40.547748.9609+8.41319
66:49 AM34.782346.5962+11.8139
127:01 AM30.22137.3176+7.09662
187:13 AM27.336728.9738+1.63713
247:25 AM25.40325.7129+0.309839
297:35 AM24.526320.8592-3.66704

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 2 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 2 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MetaTrader 5 ADX AI chart assistant Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI indicator comparison PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of NQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

MetaTrader next bar close prediction for NQ Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.