Directional Movement (ADX) forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 6:34 AM to 7:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 6:34 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 49.8724. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

21.6635.3449.02Sep 8, 6:34 AM ET7:32 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 6:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

21.6635.3449.02Sep 8, 6:34 AM ET7:32 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:34 AM ET49.8724
Projected value at 7:32 AM ET23.9145
Actual value at 7:32 AM ET19.824
Projected change across the window-25.9578
Actual change across the window-30.0483
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (7:20 AM ET), where they sat 0.43803 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (6:40 AM ET) with a gap of 10.632. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (7:02 AM ET), a move of -1.99272. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:36 AM41.154650.8539+9.69928
66:46 AM34.009742.9559+8.94623
126:58 AM29.187134.0039+4.81683
187:10 AM26.085928.8094+2.72356
247:22 AM24.745923.6275-1.11836
297:32 AM23.914519.824-4.09048

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 2-minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.