Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 29, 2026, 9:10 PM to 9:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 29, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 46.1769. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

20.735.3149.92Oct 29, 9:10 PM ET9:39 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 9:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

20.735.3149.92Oct 29, 9:10 PM ET9:39 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:10 PM ET46.1769
Projected value at 9:39 PM ET36.3325
Actual value at 9:39 PM ET27.6672
Projected change across the window-9.84435
Actual change across the window-18.5096
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (9:25 PM ET), where they sat 3.79886 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (9:31 PM ET) with a gap of 12.8977. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (9:16 PM ET), a move of -2.31481. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:11 PM51.532345.56-5.97222
69:16 PM49.535338.2928-11.2425
129:22 PM33.510828.4911-5.01972
189:28 PM29.839322.0856-7.75377
249:34 PM33.259722.6644-10.5953
299:39 PM36.332527.6672-8.66526

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy AI ADX for NT8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Future candle indicator for NQ in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 NQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.