Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 29, 2026, 4:27 PM to 4:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 29, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 22.19. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.5319.8625.18Oct 29, 4:27 PM ET4:56 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 4:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.5319.8625.18Oct 29, 4:27 PM ET4:56 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:27 PM ET22.19
Projected value at 4:56 PM ET19.7857
Actual value at 4:56 PM ET17.8006
Projected change across the window-2.4043
Actual change across the window-4.38941
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (4:30 PM ET), where they sat 0.0562134 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (4:50 PM ET) with a gap of 6.00401. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (4:43 PM ET), a move of -1.81021. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:28 PM24.664122.6694-1.99469
64:33 PM22.22724.0987+1.87173
124:39 PM22.668723.529+0.860277
184:45 PM18.722614.2034-4.51915
244:51 PM21.905116.0617-5.84335
294:56 PM19.785717.8006-1.98511

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Chat with chart ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader micro futures AI chart analysis PredictIndicators brings predicted candles to MetaTrader 5: the next 30 NQ bars appear on your MT5 chart and update in real time. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader future price bars on chart for Nasdaq 100 futures PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of NQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.