Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 29, 2026, 10:25 AM to 10:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 29, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 25.9082. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.5622.1326.7Oct 29, 10:25 AM ET10:54 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 10:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.5622.1326.7Oct 29, 10:25 AM ET10:54 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:25 AM ET25.9082
Projected value at 10:54 AM ET19.5457
Actual value at 10:54 AM ET22.0629
Projected change across the window-6.36249
Actual change across the window-3.84531
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.65 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (10:34 AM ET), where they sat 0.261717 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:25 AM ET) with a gap of 8.46847. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (10:35 AM ET), a move of +1.53263. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:26 AM17.423925.8191+8.39519
610:31 AM17.852120.7026+2.85051
1210:37 AM23.759324.3032+0.543896
1810:43 AM23.32326.6589+3.33594
2410:49 AM18.305224.8838+6.57856
2910:54 AM19.545722.0629+2.51717

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download MetaTrader AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader historical indicator prediction accuracy A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NinjaTrader ADX prediction indicator Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted NQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.