Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 28, 2026, 9:49 PM to 10:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

NinjaTrader support Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

AI trading indicator PredictIndicators.ai predicts the next 30 candles and indicators — MACD, Stochastics, ATR, ADX and more — on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, updated as each bar closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. The predicted indicators →

MetaTrader forex broker Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 28, 2026 at 9:49 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 51.0126. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.8633.3948.93Oct 28, 9:49 PM ET10:18 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 9:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.8633.3948.93Oct 28, 9:49 PM ET10:18 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:49 PM ET51.0126
Projected value at 10:18 PM ET16.325
Actual value at 10:18 PM ET25.7927
Projected change across the window-34.6876
Actual change across the window-25.2199
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (9:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.204538 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (10:16 PM ET) with a gap of 11.0755. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (10:00 PM ET), a move of -1.92006. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:50 PM43.674450.3093+6.63493
69:55 PM45.89646.7848+0.888757
1210:01 PM36.886840.3994+3.51258
1810:07 PM26.636735.6995+9.06281
2410:13 PM18.149328.294+10.1446
2910:18 PM16.32525.7927+9.46774

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Free trial predictive ADX for MetaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How do I add the NQ prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your NQ chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

MetaTrader can confidence scores change over time A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.