Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 28, 2026, 4:25 AM to 4:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 28, 2026 at 4:25 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 15.9465. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.7819.4127.04Oct 28, 4:25 AM ET4:54 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 4:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.7819.4127.04Oct 28, 4:25 AM ET4:54 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:25 AM ET15.9465
Projected value at 4:54 AM ET27.9032
Actual value at 4:54 AM ET28.0597
Projected change across the window+11.9567
Actual change across the window+12.1132
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:54 AM ET), where they sat 0.156485 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:29 AM ET) with a gap of 7.82142. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (4:29 AM ET), a move of -1.901. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:26 AM22.79215.7492-7.04285
64:31 AM17.927111.3326-6.59449
124:37 AM14.585113.3564-1.22871
184:43 AM16.296717.3725+1.0758
244:49 AM20.921123.238+2.3169
294:54 AM27.903228.0597+0.156485

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best AI ADX for MetaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI price action prediction Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Nasdaq 100 futures Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your NQ chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.