Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 28, 2026, 3:38 AM to 4:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 28, 2026 at 3:38 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 14.6675. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.5221.8328.15Oct 28, 3:38 AM ET4:07 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 3:38 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.5221.8328.15Oct 28, 3:38 AM ET4:07 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:38 AM ET14.6675
Projected value at 4:07 AM ET28.9982
Actual value at 4:07 AM ET27.1123
Projected change across the window+14.3307
Actual change across the window+12.4448
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (3:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.359077 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (3:55 AM ET) with a gap of 7.71352. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (3:48 AM ET), a move of +1.50499. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:39 AM20.281514.9689-5.31266
63:44 AM21.142618.7675-2.37519
123:50 AM17.043521.9985+4.95498
183:56 AM15.820123.3766+7.55651
244:02 AM20.599326.5369+5.93764
294:07 AM28.998227.1123-1.88595

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download predictive AI ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader prediction accuracy tracking for Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

MetaTrader real time future indicator values for NQ Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.