Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 28, 2026, 2:52 AM to 3:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 28, 2026 at 2:52 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 40.6249. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.6925.2538.8Oct 28, 2:52 AM ET3:21 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 2:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.6925.2538.8Oct 28, 2:52 AM ET3:21 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:52 AM ET40.6249
Projected value at 3:21 AM ET13.9811
Actual value at 3:21 AM ET17.9558
Projected change across the window-26.6438
Actual change across the window-22.6691
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (3:18 AM ET), where they sat 2.38269 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:52 AM ET) with a gap of 25.1402. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (2:57 AM ET), a move of -2.40057. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:53 AM14.570539.4143+24.8438
62:58 AM13.004628.4298+15.4253
123:04 AM12.133121.5203+9.3872
183:10 AM10.45418.1097+7.65562
243:16 AM14.008218.1008+4.09255
293:21 AM13.981117.9558+3.97468

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download artificial intelligence ADX for MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI prediction performance chart for NQ A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.