Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 28, 2026, 2:32 AM to 3:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On October 28, 2026 at 2:32 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 17.4275. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.4818.5121.55Oct 28, 2:32 AM ET3:01 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 2:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.4818.5121.55Oct 28, 2:32 AM ET3:01 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:32 AM ET17.4275
Projected value at 3:01 AM ET15.139
Actual value at 3:01 AM ET15.7826
Projected change across the window-2.28847
Actual change across the window-1.64493
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.39×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.39 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (2:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.028156 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (2:33 AM ET) with a gap of 3.27237. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (2:46 AM ET), a move of +1.15819. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:33 AM20.654817.3825-3.27237
62:38 AM16.653218.1148+1.46164
122:44 AM18.990319.7324+0.742124
182:50 AM21.586520.8847-0.701847
242:56 AM17.235717.2639+0.028156
293:01 AM15.13915.7826+0.643547

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy MT5 AI ADX PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for NQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader predict oscillator direction Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted NQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Next candle prediction indicator for MT5 on NQ Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 NQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.