Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 27, 2026, 7:38 PM to 8:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On October 27, 2026 at 7:38 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 15.7405. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.7324.0931.45Oct 27, 7:38 PM ET8:07 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 7:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.7324.0931.45Oct 27, 7:38 PM ET8:07 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:38 PM ET15.7405
Projected value at 8:07 PM ET24.6363
Actual value at 8:07 PM ET30.5398
Projected change across the window+8.89586
Actual change across the window+14.7993
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (7:44 PM ET), where they sat 0.155604 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (8:07 PM ET) with a gap of 5.90342. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (8:01 PM ET), a move of +1.95763. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:39 PM19.611816.4004-3.21133
67:44 PM20.24620.0904-0.155604
127:50 PM22.551618.7825-3.76915
187:56 PM27.611922.3542-5.2577
248:02 PM29.850830.1092+0.258327
298:07 PM24.636330.5398+5.90342

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy predictive AI ADX for MT5 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 prediction accuracy tracking for Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your NQ chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.