Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 27, 2026, 3:13 PM to 3:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 27, 2026 at 3:13 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 48.9476. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

25.937.6149.32Oct 27, 3:13 PM ET3:42 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 3:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

25.937.6149.32Oct 27, 3:13 PM ET3:42 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:13 PM ET48.9476
Projected value at 3:42 PM ET26.9353
Actual value at 3:42 PM ET27.7675
Projected change across the window-22.0123
Actual change across the window-21.1801
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:40 PM ET), where they sat 0.285168 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (3:25 PM ET) with a gap of 13.2881. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (3:33 PM ET), a move of -1.79965. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:14 PM41.703648.4337+6.73005
63:19 PM41.210650.8921+9.68154
123:25 PM33.453246.7413+13.2881
183:31 PM25.756838.794+13.0372
243:37 PM25.679131.1691+5.48996
293:42 PM26.935327.7675+0.8322

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Buy artificial intelligence ADX for NinjaTrader PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for NQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader can confidence scores change over time for Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Next candle prediction indicator for MT5 on NQ PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of NQ, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.