Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 27, 2026, 1:57 PM to 2:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 27, 2026 at 1:57 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 24.0804. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

21.0331.1741.3Oct 27, 1:57 PM ET2:26 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 1:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

21.0331.1741.3Oct 27, 1:57 PM ET2:26 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:57 PM ET24.0804
Projected value at 2:26 PM ET20.2585
Actual value at 2:26 PM ET30.2213
Projected change across the window-3.82183
Actual change across the window+6.14097
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (1:57 PM ET), where they sat 1.83917 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (2:13 PM ET) with a gap of 13.9174. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (2:09 PM ET), a move of +2.5167. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:58 PM23.663625.9076+2.244
62:03 PM25.004131.1945+6.19044
122:09 PM27.557240.3383+12.7811
182:15 PM24.506937.8774+13.3704
242:21 PM20.527830.9331+10.4053
292:26 PM20.258530.2213+9.9628

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy MetaTrader AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Is there an AI chat inside MetaTrader 5 for NQ? A general chatbot only sees a screenshot. The PredictIndicators chat indicator reads your live NQ chart in NinjaTrader 8 or MT5, including every indicator you have open and the predicted candles. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 can confidence scores change over time A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.