Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 12:49 AM to 1:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 24, 2026 at 12:49 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 32.4474. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

21.831.5241.24Sep 24, 12:49 AM ET1:18 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:49 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

21.831.5241.24Sep 24, 12:49 AM ET1:18 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:49 AM ET32.4474
Projected value at 1:18 AM ET22.5939
Actual value at 1:18 AM ET42.5455
Projected change across the window-9.85357
Actual change across the window+10.098
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (12:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.0356112 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (1:18 AM ET) with a gap of 19.9516. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:52 AM ET), a move of -2.1387. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:50 AM23.695332.0079+8.31262
612:55 AM22.124423.1473+1.02284
121:01 AM22.060123.0068+0.94668
181:07 AM22.26330.2932+8.03025
241:13 AM22.883637.8061+14.9225
291:18 AM22.593942.5455+19.9516

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NT8 compare predictions with actual candles for Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.