Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 9:13 AM to 9:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

Meta 4 trading PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

Forex trader 4 On MetaTrader 5, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. MetaTrader 5 guide →

MetaTrader 4 trading platform PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 15, 2026 at 9:13 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 9.81094. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.3814.6418.9Sep 15, 9:13 AM ET9:42 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 9:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.3814.6418.9Sep 15, 9:13 AM ET9:42 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:13 AM ET9.81094
Projected value at 9:42 AM ET19.4709
Actual value at 9:42 AM ET16.4238
Projected change across the window+9.65997
Actual change across the window+6.6129
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.46×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.46 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (9:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.544208 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (9:30 AM ET) with a gap of 4.66146. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (9:36 AM ET), a move of +1.10639. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:14 AM12.125610.4776-1.648
69:19 AM13.338912.7947-0.544208
129:25 AM15.593913.4889-2.105
189:31 AM17.524813.0518-4.47303
249:37 AM18.956416.5294-2.42694
299:42 AM19.470916.4238-3.04707

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Download MT5 predictive AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI trading chat indicator for intraday futures The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the NQ chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your NQ chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.