Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 2:04 PM to 2:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 14, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 39.2677. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.8928.9138.94Sep 14, 2:04 PM ET2:33 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 2:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.8928.9138.94Sep 14, 2:04 PM ET2:33 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:04 PM ET39.2677
Projected value at 2:33 PM ET22.6417
Actual value at 2:33 PM ET21.727
Projected change across the window-16.626
Actual change across the window-17.5408
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:24 PM ET), where they sat 0.372525 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (2:14 PM ET) with a gap of 16.3152. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (2:20 PM ET), a move of -2.96058. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:05 PM27.317439.1003+11.7829
62:10 PM24.620838.1562+13.5355
122:16 PM23.605739.5428+15.9371
182:22 PM22.824527.1936+4.3691
242:28 PM22.554717.627-4.92769
292:33 PM22.641721.727-0.914727

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best artificial intelligence ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your NQ chart. How to install →

MetaTrader AI chart analysis on different timeframes Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.