Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 7:02 AM to 7:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 14, 2026 at 7:02 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 41.8736. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

22.931.7940.68Sep 14, 7:02 AM ET7:31 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 7:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

22.931.7940.68Sep 14, 7:02 AM ET7:31 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:02 AM ET41.8736
Projected value at 7:31 AM ET21.7112
Actual value at 7:31 AM ET24.6395
Projected change across the window-20.1624
Actual change across the window-17.2341
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.17×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.17 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (7:23 AM ET), where they sat 0.0134249 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:02 AM ET) with a gap of 11.9946. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (7:06 AM ET), a move of -3.07744. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:03 AM28.5939.2648+10.6748
67:08 AM25.154426.91+1.75558
127:14 AM23.496625.6814+2.18479
187:20 AM22.807323.8259+1.01857
247:26 AM22.017322.2182+0.200875
297:31 AM21.711224.6395+2.92828

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best AI ADX for NinjaTrader 8 PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for NQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader confidence score for next candles for NQ A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NinjaTrader advanced AI indicator for NQ Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted NQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.