Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 2:14 AM to 2:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

Oanda MT5 On MetaTrader 5, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. MetaTrader 5 guide →

Futures trading NinjaTrader On NinjaTrader 8, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. NinjaTrader 8 guide →

Xm MT5 On MetaTrader 5, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. MetaTrader 5 guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 14, 2026 at 2:14 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 35.336. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.2927.8136.33Sep 14, 2:14 AM ET2:43 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 2:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.2927.8136.33Sep 14, 2:14 AM ET2:43 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:14 AM ET35.336
Projected value at 2:43 AM ET24.7745
Actual value at 2:43 AM ET18.1446
Projected change across the window-10.5615
Actual change across the window-17.1914
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.61×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.61 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (2:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.259632 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (2:27 AM ET) with a gap of 9.44502. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (2:31 AM ET), a move of -2.38303. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:15 AM33.247435.2282+1.98077
62:20 AM30.378435.9316+5.5532
122:26 AM28.347836.3491+8.00128
182:32 AM26.752826.4932-0.259632
242:38 AM25.101522.7297-2.37179
292:43 AM24.774518.1446-6.62986

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Download predictive ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to import a NinjaTrader 8 indicator for NQ In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your NQ chart. How to install →

NinjaTrader micro futures AI chart analysis Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted NQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.