Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 2:06 PM to 2:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 10, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 15.6799. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

13.0417.3421.63Sep 10, 2:06 PM ET2:35 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 2:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

13.0417.3421.63Sep 10, 2:06 PM ET2:35 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:06 PM ET15.6799
Projected value at 2:35 PM ET19.7875
Actual value at 2:35 PM ET18.3809
Projected change across the window+4.10757
Actual change across the window+2.70099
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.52 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (2:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.173851 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (2:12 PM ET) with a gap of 5.10194. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (2:33 PM ET), a move of -1.69101. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:07 PM15.60915.7971+0.188181
62:12 PM17.567612.4656-5.10194
122:18 PM18.228714.9421-3.28666
182:24 PM18.844919.2178+0.372895
242:30 PM19.319521.9119+2.59243
292:35 PM19.787518.3809-1.40658

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy predictive AI ADX for MT5 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader how often do AI predictions update PredictIndicators brings predicted candles to MetaTrader 5: the next 30 NQ bars appear on your MT5 chart and update in real time. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

MT5 ChatGPT assistant for NQ Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 NQ chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.