Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 4:36 AM to 5:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

Futures NinjaTrader On NinjaTrader 8, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. NinjaTrader 8 guide →

Best MetaTrader broker Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Forex com MT5 Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 10, 2026 at 4:36 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 20.1434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.4315.5420.66Sep 10, 4:36 AM ET5:05 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 4:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.4315.5420.66Sep 10, 4:36 AM ET5:05 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:36 AM ET20.1434
Projected value at 5:05 AM ET18.1422
Actual value at 5:05 AM ET21.3455
Projected change across the window-2.00115
Actual change across the window+1.20211
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.66 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (5:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.402886 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (4:45 AM ET) with a gap of 6.36274. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (4:38 AM ET), a move of -1.76282. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:37 AM17.417118.5065+1.08933
64:42 AM16.111411.6284-4.48291
124:48 AM16.353811.7573-4.59653
184:54 AM17.130311.2937-5.83653
245:00 AM18.06115.5697-2.49126
295:05 AM18.142221.3455+3.20326

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Live confidence score ADX for NT8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Indicator to predict the next candle on Nasdaq 100 futures PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of NQ, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader bar MACD prediction for NQ PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of NQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.