Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 1:03 AM to 1:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 10, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 35.8803. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.6128.9341.25Sep 10, 1:03 AM ET1:32 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 1:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.6128.9341.25Sep 10, 1:03 AM ET1:32 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:03 AM ET35.8803
Projected value at 1:32 AM ET23.7668
Actual value at 1:32 AM ET14.9597
Projected change across the window-12.1134
Actual change across the window-20.9206
Bars moving the same direction26 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 90% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (1:03 AM ET), where they sat 6.62285 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (1:17 AM ET) with a gap of 10.549. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (1:10 AM ET), a move of -1.83841. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:04 AM42.87835.8797-6.99826
61:09 AM40.819731.5523-9.26744
121:15 AM34.783125.6045-9.17866
181:21 AM29.315119.9712-9.3439
241:27 AM25.912116.4446-9.46755
291:32 AM23.766814.9597-8.80715

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best artificial intelligence ADX for MetaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Next candle prediction indicator for NQ Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 NQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

How to import a NinjaTrader 8 indicator for NQ In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your NQ chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.