Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:44 PM to 12:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Ninja Trader fees Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

NinjaTrader brokerage Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:44 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 10.6626. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.88115.7721.66Sep 9, 11:44 PM ET12:13 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 11:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.88115.7721.66Sep 9, 11:44 PM ET12:13 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:44 PM ET10.6626
Projected value at 12:13 AM ET17.374
Actual value at 12:13 AM ET22.455
Projected change across the window+6.71135
Actual change across the window+11.7924
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (12:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.382989 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (12:13 AM ET) with a gap of 5.08103. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:13 AM ET), a move of +1.24512. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:45 PM12.53859.64125-2.89728
611:50 PM13.1619.90328-3.25773
1211:56 PM14.244911.6564-2.58845
1812:02 AM15.354413.567-1.78743
2412:08 AM16.386719.0781+2.69137
2912:13 AM17.37422.455+5.08103

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best artificial intelligence ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Future candle indicator for NQ in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of NQ, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

MetaTrader predictive indicator confidence score for Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.