Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 6:00 PM to 6:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 28.4129. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.9325.9232.91Sep 9, 6:00 PM ET6:29 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 6:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.9325.9232.91Sep 9, 6:00 PM ET6:29 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:00 PM ET28.4129
Projected value at 6:29 PM ET19.3091
Actual value at 6:29 PM ET18.8275
Projected change across the window-9.10383
Actual change across the window-9.58539
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (6:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.370854 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (6:06 PM ET) with a gap of 14.6462. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:02 PM ET), a move of +1.75425. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:01 PM18.53530.0242+11.4892
66:06 PM19.204633.8508+14.6462
126:12 PM19.763729.1199+9.35612
186:18 PM19.856325.9901+6.13388
246:24 PM19.619121.1386+1.5195
296:29 PM19.309118.8275-0.481561

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Next candle prediction indicator for MT5 on NQ Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 NQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.