Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:31 PM to 1:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:31 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 14.7536. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.5621.5527.55Sep 9, 12:31 PM ET1:00 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.5621.5527.55Sep 9, 12:31 PM ET1:00 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:31 PM ET14.7536
Projected value at 1:00 PM ET20.4132
Actual value at 1:00 PM ET18.0479
Projected change across the window+5.65954
Actual change across the window+3.29425
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.72 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (12:36 PM ET), where they sat 0.270085 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (12:46 PM ET) with a gap of 8.62883. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:51 PM ET), a move of -1.74622. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 PM18.148215.6563-2.49192
612:37 PM18.021118.4468+0.425692
1212:43 PM19.027225.7586+6.73143
1812:49 PM19.901327.303+7.4017
2412:55 PM20.068221.5902+1.52198
291:00 PM20.413218.0479-2.36528

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download NinjaTrader predictive AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on NQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader historical indicator prediction accuracy A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NinjaTrader can AI predict a MACD crossover Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted NQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.