Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 9:58 PM to 10:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 8, 2026 at 9:58 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 7.67219. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.31313.3418.37Sep 8, 9:58 PM ET10:27 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 9:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.31313.3418.37Sep 8, 9:58 PM ET10:27 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:58 PM ET7.67219
Projected value at 10:27 PM ET18.678
Actual value at 10:27 PM ET14.7831
Projected change across the window+11.0058
Actual change across the window+7.11086
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (10:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.0928487 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:58 PM ET) with a gap of 10.7035. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (10:27 PM ET), a move of -1.26986. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:59 PM18.01427.63777-10.3765
610:04 PM16.83349.66225-7.17113
1210:10 PM16.822811.6819-5.14085
1810:16 PM17.758615.2114-2.54722
2410:22 PM18.364519.048+0.683511
2910:27 PM18.67814.7831-3.89494

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Chart reader ADX for MetaTrader 5 PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for NQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your NQ chart. How to install →

NinjaTrader compare predictions with actual candles for NQ A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.