Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 30, 2026, 10:07 AM to 10:36 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 30, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 31.3584. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:36 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.4921.933.31Oct 30, 10:07 AM ET10:36 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 10:07 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.4921.933.31Oct 30, 10:07 AM ET10:36 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:07 AM ET31.3584
Projected value at 10:36 AM ET13.3181
Actual value at 10:36 AM ET21.1777
Projected change across the window-18.0403
Actual change across the window-10.1807
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.77 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (10:29 AM ET), where they sat 5.8132 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (10:17 AM ET) with a gap of 17.9023. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (10:27 AM ET), a move of -1.82156. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:08 AM18.313332.3775+14.0642
610:13 AM15.126732.8813+17.7546
1210:19 AM13.503430.9487+17.4453
1810:25 AM10.337922.4032+12.0654
2410:31 AM9.6072816.7829+7.17565
2910:36 AM13.318121.1777+7.85965

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MetaTrader 5 ADX AI chart assistant Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 can AI predict future indicator values accurately for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NinjaTrader multi timeframe trend alignment for MNQ PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of MNQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.