Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 30, 2026, 4:42 AM to 5:11 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On October 30, 2026 at 4:42 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 46.2078. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:11 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

13.9331.949.87Oct 30, 4:42 AM ET5:11 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 4:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

13.9331.949.87Oct 30, 4:42 AM ET5:11 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:42 AM ET46.2078
Projected value at 5:11 AM ET14.1451
Actual value at 5:11 AM ET15.4845
Projected change across the window-32.0627
Actual change across the window-30.7234
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:11 AM ET), where they sat 1.33937 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (4:50 AM ET) with a gap of 33.8821. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (5:03 AM ET), a move of -2.49152. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:43 AM16.491447.6953+31.204
64:48 AM18.784551.0209+32.2364
124:54 AM16.13147.3814+31.2504
185:00 AM15.042539.4447+24.4022
245:06 AM12.311126.3284+14.0174
295:11 AM14.145115.4845+1.33937

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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MetaTrader next candlestick prediction for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.