Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 26, 2026, 4:33 PM to 5:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 26, 2026 at 4:33 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 15.5552. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.0728.3839.68Oct 26, 4:33 PM ET5:02 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 4:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.0728.3839.68Oct 26, 4:33 PM ET5:02 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:33 PM ET15.5552
Projected value at 5:02 PM ET25.7509
Actual value at 5:02 PM ET27.5614
Projected change across the window+10.1956
Actual change across the window+12.0061
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (5:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.815901 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (4:51 PM ET) with a gap of 18.6554. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (4:56 PM ET), a move of +1.43523. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:34 PM23.855416.2436-7.61176
64:39 PM28.461419.8928-8.56861
124:45 PM37.499822.1921-15.3077
184:51 PM41.198522.5431-18.6554
244:57 PM32.48427.4175-5.06642
295:02 PM25.750927.5614+1.81049

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Download artificial intelligence ADX for NinjaTrader 8 PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for MNQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI assistant for day trading for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the MNQ chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Future candle indicator for MNQ in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of MNQ, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.