Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 26, 2026, 7:23 AM to 7:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 26, 2026 at 7:23 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 25.5048. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.5820.9427.31Oct 26, 7:23 AM ET7:52 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 7:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.5820.9427.31Oct 26, 7:23 AM ET7:52 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:23 AM ET25.5048
Projected value at 7:52 AM ET20.939
Actual value at 7:52 AM ET20.0498
Projected change across the window-4.56587
Actual change across the window-5.45506
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (7:51 AM ET), where they sat 0.506617 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (7:42 AM ET) with a gap of 8.15594. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (7:34 AM ET), a move of -1.35506. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:24 AM22.676624.673+1.99639
67:29 AM24.331728.1623+3.83065
127:35 AM18.718524.7575+6.03901
187:41 AM16.631524.5197+7.88813
247:47 AM13.723618.723+4.99932
297:52 AM20.93920.0498-0.889186

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Buy NinjaTrader 8 artificial intelligence ADX PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for MNQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Indicator to predict the next candle on Micro Nasdaq 100 futures PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of MNQ, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader AI chat for futures chart for MNQ PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of MNQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.