Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 25, 2026, 10:47 PM to 11:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 25, 2026 at 10:47 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 44.3067. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.1330.9342.72Oct 25, 10:47 PM ET11:16 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 10:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.1330.9342.72Oct 25, 10:47 PM ET11:16 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:47 PM ET44.3067
Projected value at 11:16 PM ET24.7439
Actual value at 11:16 PM ET32.2356
Projected change across the window-19.5628
Actual change across the window-12.0711
Bars moving the same direction27 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.62 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 93% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:06 PM ET), where they sat 2.95818 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:47 PM ET) with a gap of 11.8541. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (10:50 PM ET), a move of -2.04096. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:48 PM31.694542.5469+10.8524
610:53 PM26.845134.355+7.50995
1210:59 PM19.648129.5253+9.87719
1811:05 PM18.640721.6945+3.05379
2411:11 PM20.042126.7395+6.69741
2911:16 PM24.743932.2356+7.49171

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Download NT8 artificial intelligence ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader accuracy score on trading chart for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Future candle prediction indicator for MNQ Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 MNQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.