Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:34 PM to 1:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:34 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 29.8882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

20.0928.7437.39Sep 11, 12:34 PM ET1:03 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

20.0928.7437.39Sep 11, 12:34 PM ET1:03 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:34 PM ET29.8882
Projected value at 1:03 PM ET22.8499
Actual value at 1:03 PM ET21.1935
Projected change across the window-7.03827
Actual change across the window-8.69469
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:03 PM ET), where they sat 1.65642 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:34 PM ET) with a gap of 8.6667. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (12:41 PM ET), a move of -2.46905. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:35 PM37.914330.5938-7.32051
612:40 PM34.019931.3285-2.69143
1212:46 PM30.173626.678-3.49559
1812:52 PM27.460421.2429-6.21757
2412:58 PM25.627919.308-6.31981
291:03 PM22.849921.1935-1.65642

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial MetaTrader 5 artificial intelligence ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader MACD prediction accuracy for MNQ A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NinjaTrader compare MACD with predicted candles Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted MNQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.