Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:15 PM to 12:44 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 11, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 20.1406. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:44 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.6521.5924.53Sep 11, 12:15 PM ET12:44 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:15 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.6521.5924.53Sep 11, 12:15 PM ET12:44 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:15 PM ET20.1406
Projected value at 12:44 PM ET22.4003
Actual value at 12:44 PM ET22.4372
Projected change across the window+2.25971
Actual change across the window+2.29663
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (12:25 PM ET), where they sat 0.0162117 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (12:39 PM ET) with a gap of 2.84473. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (12:23 PM ET), a move of +1.30993. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:16 PM18.60319.3362+0.73311
612:21 PM20.241818.9308-1.31097
1212:27 PM21.535421.8384+0.303001
1812:33 PM22.108124.5217+2.41367
2412:39 PM22.076424.9211+2.84473
2912:44 PM22.400322.4372+0.0369228

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best MetaTrader 5 artificial intelligence ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How do I add the MNQ prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your MNQ chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

NinjaTrader AI technical analysis indicator for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of MNQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.