Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:13 PM to 12:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 19.457. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.0720.7524.43Sep 11, 12:13 PM ET12:42 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.0720.7524.43Sep 11, 12:13 PM ET12:42 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:13 PM ET19.457
Projected value at 12:42 PM ET21.8703
Actual value at 12:42 PM ET21.8366
Projected change across the window+2.41337
Actual change across the window+2.37961
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:42 PM ET), where they sat 0.0337561 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (12:29 PM ET) with a gap of 3.46045. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (12:19 PM ET), a move of +1.30993. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:14 PM16.97319.9932+3.02021
612:19 PM18.47721.1861+2.70911
1212:25 PM20.174321.7409+1.56666
1812:31 PM21.225623.9356+2.71002
2412:37 PM21.582223.9677+2.38557
2912:42 PM21.870321.8366-0.0337561

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Live confidence score ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader future ATR values for MNQ Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted MNQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader ATR prediction accuracy for intraday futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.