Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 7:06 PM to 7:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 3, 2026 at 7:06 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 51.5892. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

26.3338.1650Sep 3, 7:06 PM ET7:35 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 7:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

26.3338.1650Sep 3, 7:06 PM ET7:35 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:06 PM ET51.5892
Projected value at 7:35 PM ET24.7375
Actual value at 7:35 PM ET29.8997
Projected change across the window-26.8516
Actual change across the window-21.6895
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (7:13 PM ET), where they sat 1.70435 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (7:29 PM ET) with a gap of 7.31601. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (7:12 PM ET), a move of -1.6843. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:07 PM45.539651.2118+5.67218
67:12 PM41.679243.6574+1.97812
127:18 PM35.388239.8451+4.45691
187:24 PM30.152135.7655+5.61343
247:30 PM26.547833.7762+7.22843
297:35 PM24.737529.8997+5.16213

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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MetaTrader can AI predict future indicator values accurately for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.