Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:54 PM to 7:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:54 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 39.8451. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

22.5730.6638.76Sep 3, 6:54 PM ET7:23 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 6:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

22.5730.6638.76Sep 3, 6:54 PM ET7:23 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:54 PM ET39.8451
Projected value at 7:23 PM ET21.4841
Actual value at 7:23 PM ET25.6696
Projected change across the window-18.361
Actual change across the window-14.1755
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (7:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.00487438 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:54 PM ET) with a gap of 15.8316. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (7:13 PM ET), a move of -1.76439. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:55 PM24.569938.5518+13.9819
67:00 PM24.932635.7655+10.8329
127:06 PM24.351433.7762+9.42482
187:12 PM23.611529.319+5.70746
247:18 PM22.480222.9798+0.499585
297:23 PM21.484125.6696+4.18549

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy NinjaTrader 8 predictive AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI predictive indicator Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted MNQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

MetaTrader short term candle prediction for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.