Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 3:02 PM to 3:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

Best broker for MetaTrader 5 usa Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Ninja Trader demo account Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Ninja Trader demo Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 3, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 18.9986. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.7117.7820.85Sep 3, 3:02 PM ET3:31 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 3:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.7117.7820.85Sep 3, 3:02 PM ET3:31 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:02 PM ET18.9986
Projected value at 3:31 PM ET20.895
Actual value at 3:31 PM ET17.6382
Projected change across the window+1.89639
Actual change across the window-1.36042
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.39×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.39 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (3:23 PM ET), where they sat 0.128314 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:02 PM ET) with a gap of 4.70259. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (3:17 PM ET), a move of +1.31707. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:03 PM14.581917.7893+3.20742
63:08 PM16.52917.8518+1.32279
123:14 PM18.710416.7729-1.93749
183:20 PM20.222921.1724+0.94951
243:26 PM21.025519.5137-1.5118
293:31 PM20.89517.6382-3.2568

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Best NinjaTrader predictive AI ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader why do AI indicator predictions change for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

NinjaTrader ask AI about technical indicators The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the MNQ chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.