Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:32 AM to 12:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 36.0735. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.0326.9635.89Sep 2, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 11:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.0326.9635.89Sep 2, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:32 AM ET36.0735
Projected value at 12:01 PM ET23.9767
Actual value at 12:01 PM ET16.8335
Projected change across the window-12.0968
Actual change across the window-19.2401
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (11:49 AM ET), where they sat 0.591713 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (12:01 PM ET) with a gap of 7.14326. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (11:50 AM ET), a move of -2.10571. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:33 AM34.615836.121+1.50524
611:38 AM32.451534.2546+1.80307
1211:44 AM29.012830.6147+1.60191
1811:50 AM26.581825.0884-1.49339
2411:56 AM24.802320.0704-4.73188
2912:01 PM23.976716.8335-7.14326

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial predictive AI ADX for MetaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI indicator accuracy for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

How do I add the MNQ prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your MNQ chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.