Directional Movement (ADX) forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 9:05 AM to 9:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 9:05 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.0886. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.7729.7842.79Sep 2, 9:05 AM ET9:34 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 9:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.7729.7842.79Sep 2, 9:05 AM ET9:34 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:05 AM ET34.0886
Projected value at 9:34 AM ET22.3299
Actual value at 9:34 AM ET15.1953
Projected change across the window-11.7587
Actual change across the window-18.8933
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (9:05 AM ET), where they sat 0.248792 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (9:13 AM ET) with a gap of 17.1926. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (9:18 AM ET), a move of -3.19476. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:06 AM32.412534.8088+2.39629
69:11 AM28.084344.4778+16.3935
129:17 AM25.022437.0863+12.0639
189:23 AM24.170522.932-1.23846
249:29 AM22.992515.6954-7.29711
299:34 AM22.329915.1953-7.1346

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1-minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.